Housing market begins ’22 with lower inventory, higher prices

 
 

Median home sales price rose 14% year over year.

Since the calendar turned to 2022, the real estate industry has witnessed a 12% drop in the number of new listings and a 14% increase in median home sales price compared to a year ago, according to a housing market report by Redfin released Thursday.

During the four-week period ending January 16, the median home sales price rose to $358,500, with 41% of homes selling for above list price, up from 33% during the same time period a year ago. The percentage of homes for sale that underwent price drops also increased slightly year over year, rising 0.3 percentage points to 2.4%. Overall, the average sale-to-list price ratio was 100.3%. Meanwhile, the median asking price of a newly listed home rose 12% year over year to $349,950.

Due to the drop in new listings, the total number of homes for sale dropped 29% to 445,000. Pending sales were also constrained by low inventory, rising just 1% year over year. However, there should be more new construction homes hitting the market in the coming months, with the number of housing starts and building permits issued increasing to a nine-month high in December.

“There is very little for sale right now, so nearly every new listing that’s priced fairly and is in good condition gets multiple offers,” Niko Voutsinas, a Chicago-based Redfin real estate agent, said in a statement. “Labor and material shortages are limiting the supply of new construction, but also increasing buyers’ appetite for homes that are move-in ready. They don’t want to deal with any hassles of trying to find contractors to make improvements, so they’re willing to pay a premium for homes that don’t need any work.”

Of the homes that went under contract during this time period, the report found that 41% had an accepted offer within its first two weeks on the market, up from 36% a year earlier, and 32% of homes that went under contract had an accepted offer within one week, up from 27% a year ago.

In addition, the median number of days a home sat on the market was at 28, down from 35 days a year prior.

But for weary homebuyers there is some good news in such a challenging housing market: as expected, mortgage rates are on the rise, which experts believe may become more of a deterrent than a motivator for buyers.

“2022 started off more competitive than 2021, but mortgage rates have now risen enough that they may become more of a deterrent than a motivator for homebuyers,” Redfin chief economist Daryl Fairweather said in a statement. “In the next few weeks we may start to see signs that some buyers are backing off. This is the silver lining for the most committed homebuyers who may benefit from less intense competition in this supply-constrained market.”

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Built-to-Rent Homes Expected to Hit All-Time High in 2022

 
 

As renters look for a lifestyle change that offers more space and privacy, communities of single-family houses built for the purpose of renting have become the hottest trend in housing. 2021 was a record year for single-family rental home construction, with 6,740 new built-to-rent homes completed.

And the trend is growing rapidly: twice as many homes are now under construction, for a total of nearly 14,000 set to open their doors to renters beginning this year.

Cleverly described by some as “horizontal apartments,” communities of houses built for the sole purpose of renting are becoming the hottest topic in residential living. But single-family rentals are not a new concept. Although they proliferated in the aftermath of the 2008 housing crisis, this time it’s different. The pandemic created an unprecedented demand among renters for space and privacy, which houses can address much better than apartments.

According to a recent survey of 3,300 renters on rentcafe.com, as many as 78% said they were interested in living in a community of single-family homes. The survey confirmed the rising interest in single-family rentals that began to take shape last year, including on rentcafe.com, where searches for “homes for rent” tripled in 2021 compared to the previous year.

What’s more, the race to build more of this in-demand type of rental is accelerating: In 2021, 6,740 new rental homes in built-to-rent communities were completed—the highest yearly total to date, according to Yardi Matrix data. But this is just the beginning of a trend we’re bound to see much more of as the pace of construction is set to double beginning this year. Specifically, there are an estimated 14,000 built-to-rent homes under construction in the United States.

Currently, there are about 90,000 existing single-family homes in the United States in nearly 720 such communities designed specifically for renting. They include single-family detached houses, townhomes, duplexes, and even quadruplexes that come with a backyard or a garage—or sometimes both.

It’s easy to see the appeal of built-to-rent homes: the trend combines the financial and leasing flexibility of a rental with the amenities and convenience of a professionally managed property, all while living a single-family home lifestyle.

As a result, everyone is interested, according to Shannon Hersker with Walker & Dunlop: “There is a misconception that the majority of renters are Millennials when, in reality, you have everyone—including college students, empty nesters, families with kids, pet owners, and those wanting to downsize.”

Built-to-Rent Communities Present in Both Suburban & Urban Areas

Because they need large lots of land to build on, rental home communities are prevalent in low-density areas, with the majority (61%) located in suburbs.

“Undoubtedly, coronavirus has also impacted upon this increased popularity,” said Christopher Michael, founder of archisoup, an online learning platform for architecture students. “Many are now moving out of the cities and apartment living to seek out more space in rural and suburban locations.”

This aligns with RentCafe’s renter survey, which also revealed that besides the main reasons for choosing a single-family rental over an apartment—more space (29%) and more privacy (25%)—these types of rental homes are also attractive for families. More precisely, 19% of respondents believe a single-family rental is more suitable for their family, especially if the community is ina family-friendly area in the suburbs.

Mapping the top 100 locations with the most built-to-rent houses reveals that 39% of these communities are located in areas, particularly in geographical regions where land availability allows. While they’re more likely to be found in urban settings in the Southwest, they tend to be more present in suburban areas in the Midwest and Northeast

Either way, single-family rentals are filling up fast, with the occupancy rate in 2021 2% higher than apartments (97% compared to 95%)—demonstrating renters’ interest in living in a house. And, Hersker believes the trend of the built-to-rent home was already on the rise: “The pandemic just increased demand at a faster pace,” she said. “People want to live in areas that are less dense, in communities that offer more space.”

To learn more, visit RisMedia.

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Homebuyers are rushing to get mortgages before higher rates price them out

 
 

Mortgage rates are rushing higher, and last week that caused a major divergence in mortgage demand.

Refinancing continued to dry up, but homebuyers appear to be rushing into the market. As a result, total mortgage application volume rose 2.3% compared with the previous week, according to the Mortgage Bankers Association’s seasonally adjusted index.

The average contract interest rate for 30-year fixed-rate mortgages with conforming loan balances ($647,200 or less) increased to 3.64% from 3.52%, with points remaining unchanged at 0.45 (including the origination fee) for loans with a 20% down payment. That rate was 72 basis points higher than the same week one year ago and has increased more than 30 basis points in just the last two weeks.

As a result, applications to refinance a home loan, which are most sensitive to weekly rate moves, fell 3% for the week and were 49% lower than the same week one year ago. The refinance share of mortgage activity decreased to 60.3% of total applications from 64.1% the previous week

“Mortgage rates hit their highest levels since March 2020, leading to the slowest pace of refinance activity in over two years. FHA and VA refinance declines drove most of the refinance slowdown,” said Joel Kan, MBA’s associate vice president of economic and industry forecasting.

Mortgage applications from homebuyers, however, jumped 8% for the week, although they were still 13% lower than the same week one year ago. The activity appears to be on the higher end of the market, where there is more supply. The average loan size for a purchase application set a record at $418,500.

“The slower growth in government purchase activity is also contributing to the larger loan balances and suggests that prospective first-time buyers are struggling to find homes to buy in their price range,” added Kan.

Demand for housing continues to be strong, as supply did not increase as it normally does in December. Some buyers may be getting a jump on the usually busy spring market, concerned that rates will be even higher in a few months.

Paul Legere, a buyer’s agent with The Joel Nelson Group in Washington, D.C. calls the activity, “unprecedented.”

“Some lenders I work with say they have had more first-time homebuyer applications in the last couple of weeks than they’ve seen in 20 years,” said Legere, adding that he just wrote an offer on a $1.3 million home with an escalation clause up to $1.625 million ... and lost.

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How To Become Head of a Household: Homebuying and Mortgage Guide for Singles

 
 

Many people might picture homeownership as an event that happens only after two people get married and start a financial partnership.

Some mortgages are still structured to reflect that idea. But nowadays, more single people without children are investing in their own homes.

In fact, the share of U.S. single homeowners is the highest it’s been in more than 100 years, according to an analysis of U.S. Census Bureau data by Haus.

Given rising home costs, the reduced buying power that comes with a single income, and the way mortgages are structured, becoming a homeowner as a single person might not seem easy. But it is entirely doable.

We reached out to real estate and financial professionals for advice on how a single person can buy a home within their budget. Read on for their tips and insights.

Tip No. 1: Consider government-insured loans

Even if it’s substantial, having one income to pay the bills inherently increases the risk for a lender.

“A single person can’t rely on a partner’s income for a mortgage, so if something major happens—like a medical emergency or a significant reduction in income—it will be difficult to make mortgage payments,” says Kris Lippi, a licensed real estate broker in Connecticut. “It can also be difficult to make that initial down payment. Government-insured loans are a good option and have a lower down payment requirement, too.”

One example is the mortgage program run by the Federal Housing Administration (FHA). While a conventional mortgage requires a 20% down payment, an FHA loan requires only 3.5%.

In addition, veterans should consider a VA Loan, backed by the Department of Veterans Affairs, which can help borrowers get lower interest rates with no required down payment or monthly mortgage insurance premiums.

Tip No. 2: Don’t think (too) big

Consider how much space you need as a single homeowner without a partner or children.

“Look for smaller houses with one or two bedrooms and one bathroom,” advises Martin Orefice, CEO of Rent To Own Labs. “You’ll end up with a much lower mortgage that way.”

Having a more manageable space will also reduce all your costs and bills.

Tip No. 3: Improve your credit score

Focus on your credit before you try to get a mortgage.

“If you’re in a lot of debt, it will be virtually impossible to secure a mortgage,” says Michael Dean, a real estate broker and co-founder of Pool Research.

For most loans, you’ll need a credit score of around 600, but a score of 700 or higher will help you secure lower interest rates. According to the Federal Reserve, 90% of mortgages in 2019 were taken out by people with a credit score that was higher than 647, and 75% of mortgages were taken out by people with a score of over 700. The median credit score was 759.

You’ll need to pay off all significant outstanding debts and pay your credit cards and bills on time to raise your credit score. (Payment history makes up about a third of your credit score).

Remember, higher scores also mean you’ll be able to make a lower down payment, which may be necessary if you are to snag your dream home.

Tip No. 4: Beware of big mortgages

Just because a lender will approve you for a larger mortgage doesn’t mean you should dive in and accept it. Remember, you alone will be carrying the nut, so be extra cautious about the size of your monthly mortgage payments.

You should think carefully before opting for an adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM). ARMs begin at a fixed interest rate that is usually lower than a comparable fixed-rate mortgage. But an ARM rate will change after three, five, seven, or 10 years, and the rate will adjust based on market indexes. Sometimes this means your initially low ARM rate will shoot up and raise your monthly mortgage payment.

“If you go with a fixed mortgage rate, you’ll be able to plan ahead and budget your spending accordingly,” says Dean. “You need to know where you are putting your money and what is expected in terms of payments if you are the only one paying the bills.”

Tip No. 5: Consider a co-signer

If bad credit or other issues are interfering with your dream of owning a home, consider adding a co-purchaser to your mortgage, whether or not they intend to live with you.

Co-signing or getting a loan is a great option, says David Aylor, the founder and CEO of David Aylor Law Offices in Charleston, S.C.

“If you have family members that can lend you cash to make your down payment, it can be worthwhile,” adds Aylor. “But you should only take that route if you come to a reasonable agreement, crunch the numbers, and determine that you’ll all be able to make the budget work.”

Tip 6: Make a comfortable down payment

Down payments can be a tricky business. Saving for one can be difficult, but if you can put down a substantial down payment, your monthly bills will be lower, and you’ll have a chunk of equity in your home.

“You’ll be footing 100% of the monthly payments yourself, and the bigger your down payment, the lower your monthly bills will be,” says John Li, co-founder and technical lead of New York’s Fig Loans. “You don’t want to become ‘house poor’ and struggle from month to month to meet your steep payments.”

Get more tips like these on Realtor.com

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As Featured in West + Main Home Magazine: Stuff We Love!

 
 

West + Main agent Megan has a side-hustle...and we're obsessed! Her knack for sourcing one-of-a-kind antique and vintage rugs through her company Randi's Rugs is a wonderful bonus for her real estate clients too!

W+M Agent

Megan Pierce

Anderson

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8x11 1970's Wool

$1,625 

ROBERT

Vintage Persian

6x8 Wool Rug

$1,025

SAM

Vintage Persian Nain Wool and Silk

4x6 Area Rug

$525



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