Greater Denver Area Real Estate Market Report from January 2024

 
 

For years, I've compared the process of buying a home to online dating, says the Denver Metro Association of Realtors’ Market Trends Committee.

The person, or house in this case, can look like your dream match online; however, until you physically tour the house -or meet your date in person — you really don't know if your online "crush" has the potential to be something more.

As we kick off the new year, buyers appear to be wearing rose-colored glasses, ready to put themselves back in the real estate market as they finally have more choices. New listings increased 14.73 percent to 3,280 year-over-year with a higher percentage of new listings for detached properties up 17.94 percent to 2,301. Pending home sales increased 6.5 percent to 3,294, while median days in MLS increased 5.88 percent to 36 days. Closed sales lagged by 6.26 percent; however, this isn't all that surprising as this number trails by a month highlighting homes that sold in January that went under contract in December. Saying that, this time of year I prefer to compare the numbers from last January to this January as December is traditionally our lowest month of inventory, resulting in highly skewed numbers such as an increase of 89.92 percent in new listings month-over-month.

Single-family pending sales rose 11.95 percent year-over-year while the median close price increased to $625,000. Median days in MLS stayed firm at 37 days and the percentage of close-price-to-list -price rose to 98.34 percent. While we don't track concessions here, I've heard more reports of competitive listings receiving multiple offers, so I think this number is an accurate representation. This is in contrast to the ratios last year that often reflected full -price offers which had large concessions to help buy down mortgage rates.

Attached pending sales decreased 6.61 percent year -over- year to 848 from 908, showcasing that attached sales are moving slightly slower. Closed sales also decreased 13.70 percent while the median close price remained the same at $395,000 -$25,000 less than the median sales price in December of $420,000. Additionally, median days in MLS increased to 34 days from 28 last January.

This month's big news is that the Fed did not adjust interest rates. As a result, we likely won't see an adjustment until spring at the earliest. When rates do start declining again, this will be much -needed relief and will also help to assuage some uncertainty with the presidential election this year.

The spring selling season will likely be strong this year due to pent -up demand and more favorable lending terms. While it's not a consistent prediction, if interest rates decline below five percent, we may see tighter inventory and more competitive scenarios once again. Many buyers are waiting on the fence for interest rates to continue their downward descent, however, trying to time the market for lower interest rates before the market heats up may result in buyers paying more in the long term if they find themselves in a bidding war. This is the importance of being an advisor to our clients helping them understand the risk and reward of waiting.

Read below for a price range breakdown for properties sold for $1 million or more from Market Trends Committee Member and West + Main Homes Agent, Nick DiPasquale.

Learn more about the market from the Denver Metro Association of Realtors.


Thank you to our partners at the Denver Metro Association of Realtors for compiling this information.

If there is a home that you would like more information about, if you are considering selling a property, or if you have questions about the housing market in your neighborhood, please reach out. We’re here to help.

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Just Listed: Cozy 3-Bedroom Oasis with Stunning Views and a Lush Backyard Retreat!

 
 
 

As you enter this better than new 3 bedroom 2-1/2 bath, 2 story home (with 676 square foot unfinished basement), you'll be struck by how warm and inviting it feels.

The open floor plan flows nicely into the substantial two story living room, which opens into the dining area and spacious kitchen. With upgraded cabinets and backsplash, hardwood flooring throughout the entry kitchen & dining areas, and custom blinds throughout, you can feel that this place feels like "home." From the living area, you enter the backyard of this 8000+ square foot lot and experience one of the true treasures of this home. The large backyard is an oasis you will no doubt spend hours enjoying. From the amazing unobstructed views of Longs Peak and the front range, to the extended custom patio and established fruit trees and bushes (apple, plumb, currant and blackberry and more), this space is made for living. Upstairs you'll find a separate laundry room, large primary suite with 5 piece en suite and two additional bedrooms. All this along with an oversized 3-car tandem garage makes this home a complete move in ready package. Welcome home!

Listed by Jaron Tate for West + Main Homes. Please contact Jaron for current pricing + availability.

 
 
 

Have questions?
West + Main Homes
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Presented by:
Jaron Tate
970-443-2755
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The Housing Market’s ‘Affordability Picture’ May Finally Be Coming Into Focus

 
 

As of late, the housing market seems to be in standby mode, ready to rev up if mortgage rates fall or further stagnate if rates rise.

Currently, mortgage rates are toggling back and forth in the mid-6% range, down from the high 7% range in the fall of last year. According to the latest Freddie Mac data, rates for a 30-year fixed-rate home loan ticked down to an average of 6.63% for the week ending Feb. 1. (Last week’s rate averaged 6.69%.)

Yet the suspended state of rates does not mean there was complete stasis in the real estate market. While the big picture might show a market barely shifting gears, a closer look at the latest Realtor.com® data at the end of January reveals a different story—maybe even a (gasp) happy story where the market is picking up steam.

We’ll explain what the latest housing market data means for buyers and sellers in this newest installment of “How’s the Housing Market This Week?

 
 

Real estate listings have returned

The engine powering the housing market’s surprising burst of activity is the number of homes for sale, which shot up by 10.1% year over year for the week ending Jan. 27.

“For a 12th consecutive week, active listings registered above the prior-year level, which means that today’s home shoppers have more homes to choose from,” says Realtor.com Chief Economist Danielle Hale in her most recent analysis.

Many of these listings are newly on the market, too, with 2.1% more home sellers jumping in this week compared with a year earlier.

“While the jump was not as big as seen in recent weeks, further improvement in new listings will help contribute to a recovery in active listings, meaning more options for home shoppers,” explains Hale.

This influx of listings has many buyers ready and raring to make a deal with their checkbooks at the ready.

Homes were snapped up three days faster for the week ending Jan. 27 compared with this time last year. This marked 17 weeks the typical home spent less time on the market than the same week the year prior. (The typical home spent 69 days on the market in January.)

In general, though, it’s worth remembering that overall housing inventory remains a whopping 40% below 2017 to 2019 levels. Still, this latest uptick in listings is a welcome step in the right direction.

The mortgage rate outlook

The Federal Reserve met at the very end of January. While it didn’t raise its interest rates to combat inflation, it didn’t lower them either. That means mortgage rates, which generally follow the same trajectory as the Fed’s rates, aren’t likely to drop by as much as many homebuyers had hoped.

“Incoming data will continue to be an important arbiter of the likely rate path, and the Fed is waiting to see what results, alongside everyone else,” says Hale. For example, if the data shows that inflation has fallen below the Fed’s 2% target, the Fed could cut rates sooner.

Hale explains that buyers and sellers face an unknown future as to exactly when—and in what direction—rates might go. However, she predicts “the general trend is likely to be lower, in line with Realtor.com’s 2024 Housing Forecast and also in line with consumer expectations, which have pivoted toward this reality in recent weeks.”

Sam Khater, Freddie Mac’s chief economist, agrees.

“Mortgage rates have been stable for nearly two months, but with continued deceleration in inflation, we expect rates to decline further,” he said in a statement.

Why home prices still seem stuck

Mortgage rates aren’t the only variable seemingly stuck in limbo. Home prices have also “been in a rough holding pattern since May 2023,” explains Hale.

Indeed, the median list price was up just 0.2% for the week ending Jan. 27 compared with the same week last year. (The median list price in January was $409,500.)

List prices typically dip during winter, then rise once temperatures warm up as home shoppers show up in droves. This seasonal upswing typically starts as early as January.

“The nation’s median home listing price typically rises after the first week of the year,” says Hale. This year, however, it might not be by much.

“We may not see the intensity of increase that we’ve seen in 2021 to 2023,” adds Hale.

Hale predicts that cooling home price growth might, along with softening mortgage rates, “give buyer incomes a chance to catch up and improve the affordability picture.”

Read more at Realtor.com

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Will a Silver Tsunami Change the 2024 Housing Market?

 
 

Have you ever heard the term “Silver Tsunami” and wondered what it’s all about?

If so, that might be because there’s been lot of talk about it online recently. Let’s dive into what it is and why it won’t drastically impact the housing market.

What Does Silver Tsunami Mean?

A recent article from HousingWire calls it:

“. . . a colloquialism referring to aging Americans changing their housing arrangements to accommodate aging . . .”

The thought is that as baby boomers grow older, a significant number will start downsizing their homes. Considering how large that generation is, if these moves happened in a big wave, it would affect the housing market by causing a significant uptick in the number of larger homes for sale. That influx of homes coming onto the market would impact the balance of supply and demand and more.

The concept makes sense in theory, but will it happen? And if so, when?

Why It Won’t Have a Huge Impact on the Housing Market in 2024

Experts say, so far, a silver tsunami hasn’t happened – and it probably won’t anytime soon. According to that same article from HousingWire:

“. . . the silver tsunami’s transformative potential for the U.S. housing market has not yet materialized in any meaningful way, and few expect it to anytime soon.”

Here’s just one reason why. Many baby boomers don’t want to move. Data from the AARP shows over half of the surveyed adults ages 65 and up plan to stay put and age in place in their current home rather than move (see chart below):

 
 

Clearly, not every baby boomer is planning to sell or move – and even those who do won’t do it all at once. Instead, it will be more gradual, happening slowly over time. As Mark Fleming, Chief Economist at First American, says:

“Demographics are never a tsunami. The baby boomer generation is almost two decades of births. That means they’re going to take about two decades to work their way through.”

Bottom Line

If you’re worried about a Silver Tsunami shaking up the housing market, don’t be. Any impact from baby boomers moving will be gradual over many years. Fleming sums it up best:

 “Demographic trends, they don't tsunami. They trickle.”

Read more at KeepingCurrentMatters.com

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If there is a home that you would like more information about, if you are considering selling a property, or if you have questions about the housing market in your neighborhood, please reach out. We’re here to help.

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Just Listed: Your Gateway to Versatile Living and Working, Nestled in the Heart of the Future Uplands Development in Westminster!

 
 
 

Your Gateway to Versatile Living and Working, Nestled in the Heart of the Future Uplands Development in Westminster!

Welcome to 8221 Bradburn – Your Gateway to Versatile Living and Working! Nestled in the heart of the future Uplands Development in Westminster, this is a unique opportunity to own a live/work building that goes well beyond conventional living. Unlock endless possibilities with the T-1 zoning designated by the City of Westminster. This classification extends far beyond the normal residential zoning. This includes primary uses as an office building, group home, assisted living, medical building, banking, insurance and other professional uses. Secondary zoning uses such as but not limited to eating establishments, pharmacies and personal business services. We can help guide you to resources with the City of Westminster if needed. With over 5000 sqft of usable space, your creativity knows no bounds. Tailor the property to suit your lifestyle or business needs. Check out the video walkthrough to get a feel for space and what it be for you. A few property features to note. Walk out Basement | Mountain View | Primary ensuite | 2 Fully Fenced in Yard Areas | Separate Entrances | Mid Century Modern Vibe | Schedule your showing today! Link to future Uplands Development - https://uplandscolorado.com/

Listed by Jesse Davis for West + Main Homes. Please contact Jesse for current pricing + availability.

 
 
 

Have questions?
West + Main Homes
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hello@westandmain.com


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